New Mustel Poll - BC Liberals Take 5% Lead Over BC NDP

Mustel completed its last opinion poll just after the resignation of Liberal leader Gordon Campbell. The party standings at that time were:

Liberal: 37%
NDP: 42%

Today's Mustel poll taken after the resignation of NDP leader Carole James shows the following:


Liberal: 41% (+4%)
NDP: 36% (-6%)

This opinion poll is the first taken since the May, 2009 election showing the Liberals in the lead over the NDP mainly as a result of the HST fiasco.

Pollster Evi Mustel has also confirmed to the Vancouver Sun the following:
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Mustel said the B.C. Liberal rebound is due to a move by female voters — the key swing demographic in provincial politics — away from the NDP.

The gender gap in B.C. politics, with women favouring the NDP and men backing the B.C. Liberals, no longer stands, said Mustel.

“Historically, when the B.C. Liberals are doing well in the polls they have the support of women, but when they start falling, it’s usually the women that go first.”

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That's an impressive decline for the NDP in terms of the female vote and vice versa with the Liberals. And Evi Mustel provides some further insight into the current reversal of fortunes of both the Liberals and NDP:

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Mustel said that Campbell’s resignation, the subsequent B.C. Liberal leadership race with two female candidates, plus the crisis over Carole James’ leadership, are probably the factors behind the marked erosion of NDP support among women.
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http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Liberals+have+five+point+lead+over+Mustel+poll/3984199/story.html#ixzz18FWNqXxp